Predictive Value of C-Peptide Measures for Clinical Outcomes of ß-Cell Replacement Therapy in Type 1 Diabetes: Report From the Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry (CITR).

OBJECTIVE: To determine C-peptide measures and levels associated with positive glycemic control outcomes following islet transplant (ITx) in type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We evaluated Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry (CITR) islet-alone recipients with pretransplant C-peptide <0.1 nmol/L and mean follow-up of 4.6 ± 1.1 years (n = 677). Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC) was used to evaluate the predictive value of fasting and stimulated glucose and C-peptide measures for seven primary outcomes: 1) absence of severe hypoglycemic events (ASHEs); 2) HbA1c <7.0%; 3) HbA1c <7.0% and ASHEs; 4) HbA1c ≤6.5%; 5) HbA1c ≤6.5% and ASHEs; 6) insulin independence; and 7) ASHEs, HbA1c ≤6.5%, and insulin independence (the optimal outcome). Measures with the highest ROC-AUC were selected for determination of optimal cut points. RESULTS: Fasting C-peptide was highly predictive for ASHE (ROC-AUC 0.906; optimal cut point 0.070 nmol/L) and the optimal outcome (ROC-AUC 0.845; optimal cut point 0.33 nmol/L). Mixed-meal tolerance test (MMTT)-stimulated C-peptide-to-glucose ratio (CPGR) outperformed both fasting and stimulated C-peptide for all outcomes except ASHE. The optimal cut point for the optimal outcome was 0.12 nmol/mmol for MMTT-stimulated CPGR and 0.97 nmol/L for MMTT-stimulated C-peptide. CONCLUSIONS: Fasting C-peptide reliably predicts ITx primary outcomes. MMTT-stimulated CPGR provides marginally better prediction for composite ITx outcomes, including insulin independence. In the absence of an MMTT, a fasting C-peptide ≥0.33 nmol/L is a reassuring measure of optimal islet graft function. C-peptide targets represent excellent and easily determinable means to predict glycemic control outcomes after ITx and should be considered as potential goals of ß-cell replacement.

Factors associated with favourable 5 year outcomes in islet transplant alone recipients with type 1 diabetes complicated by severe hypoglycaemia in the Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Islet transplantation has been studied in small cohorts of recipients with type 1 diabetes complicated by severe hypoglycaemic events (SHEs). We determined factors associated with favourable outcomes in a large cohort of recipients reported to the Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry (CITR). METHODS: In 398 non-uraemic islet transplant alone (ITA) recipients with type 1 diabetes and SHEs, transplanted between 1999 and 2015 and with at least 1 year follow-up, we analysed specified favourable outcomes against each of all available characteristics of pancreas donors, islet grafts, recipients and immunosuppressive regimens, as well as immunosuppression and procedure-related serious adverse events (SAEs). RESULTS: Four factors were associated with the highest rates of favourable outcomes: recipient age ≥35 years; total infused islets ≥325,000 islet equivalents; induction immunosuppression with T cell depletion and/or TNF-α inhibition; and maintenance with both mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR) and calcineurin inhibitors. At 5 years after the last islet infusion, of the recipients meeting these four common favourable factors (4CFF; N=126), 95% were free of SHEs, 76% had HbA1c <53 mmol/mol (7.0%), 73% had HbA1c <53 mmol/mol (7.0%) and absence of SHEs, and 53% were insulin independent, significantly higher rates than in the remaining recipients (<4CFF; N=272). The incidence of procedural and immunosuppression-related SAEs per recipient that resulted in sequelae, disability or death was low in both the 4CFF (0.056 per person) and <4CFF (0.074 per person) groups. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In recipients with type 1 diabetes complicated by SHEs, islet transplantation meeting 4CFF protected 95% from SHEs at 5 years after the last islet infusion and exerted a large and significant benefit on glycaemic control, with an acceptable safety profile for this subgroup of type 1 diabetes.